Beware of the experts

Hurricane Ian has clobbered Florida and is about to do more to the coast of South Carolina.  We have been exposed to massive amounts of expert opinion and news coverage about how bad the storm was.  While I do not want to minimize the hardship this storm has caused.  I want to offer a word about the ‘experts’.  

One week ago the storm track had Ian making landfall near St Mark’s in the eastern part of the Florida panhandle.  They missed landfall by about 350 miles.  It was also predicted to be a cat 2 not the major storm it was.  In fact, the storm was supposed to be named Hermine.  But the experts were mistaken and a tropical storm in the Atlantic formed before Ian and took the name Hermine.  Not to mention that, like most years, this was predicted to be more active than usual for tropical storms.  The experts told us that we should expect about 20 named tropical storms, 10 of which would be hurricanes and 3-5 would be major storms (cat 3 or higher) and that the hurricane season would peak in the first 10 days of September.  Remember Colin, Fiona, or Gaston.  No?  I didn’t think you would.  

Now, I am not trying to knock the weather service or say you shouldn’t prepare for natural disasters.  What I am saying is that when the experts make confirmed pronouncements based on the testimony of scientists and their observations, we might want to take that with a grain of salt.  They may have special insights or they may be making guesses. 

When it comes to the pronouncements of secular, social scientists on matters of humanity and moral conduct the possibility of error is even more pronounced,  So, when scientists tell us all life evolved over millions of years, gender can be fluid, sexual standards are mere social constructs, or the Bible is not an accurate history, you may need to have your “I doubt it” warning light go off. 

If the experts were half as good as they thought they were, they would be ten times better than they are.  If they were 1/1000 as accurate as the Word of God, they would be perhaps 100 times better than their track record indicates.